PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.