PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 24%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.