PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 18%Slider 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.