PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →