PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.