PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 18%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.