PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →