PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 6%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.