PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 24%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 19%Slider 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →