PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 24%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sweeper 18%Slider 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .382
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.