PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael King vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael King's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael King's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 29%Changeup 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sweeper 18%Slider 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael King, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .382
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.