PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%Cutter 3%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.