PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 22%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%Cutter 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 705 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.