PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .363vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 23%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%Cutter 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.