PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 22%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%Cutter 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →