PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 21%Changeup 14%Curveball 14%Cutter 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.