PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 22%Changeup 14%Curveball 13%Cutter 3%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.