PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Scherzer vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Scherzer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Scherzer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .363vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 23%Changeup 14%Curveball 12%Cutter 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Scherzer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →