PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Meyer vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Meyer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.