PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Meyer vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Meyer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.