PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Meyer vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Meyer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 20%Changeup 14%Sinker 11%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jared Triolo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.