PITCHER MATCHUP
Max Meyer vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Max Meyer's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HD Henry Davis RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.