PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Meyer vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Meyer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.