PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Meyer vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Meyer's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Meyer's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 30%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Changeup 13%Sinker 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Meyer, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →