PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →