PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.