PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-10 game page →