PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sweeper 11%Slider 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.