PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →