PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 11%Slider 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 640 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.