PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sweeper 11%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.