PITCHER MATCHUP

Max Fried vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Max Fried's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Max Fried's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 23%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 17%Changeup 12%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Max Fried, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →