PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 24%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Cutter 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →