PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .349Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 15%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 LT Lane Thomas RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SM Starling Marte RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Tyler Tolbert RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Tolbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.