PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 22%Curveball 15%Changeup 13%Sinker 12%Cutter 8%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-18 game page →