PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 16%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →