PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 16%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.