PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 24%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Cutter 7%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.