PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 16%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.