PITCHER MATCHUP
Matthew Liberatore vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matthew Liberatore's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 24%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Cutter 7%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.