PITCHER MATCHUP
Matthew Liberatore vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matthew Liberatore's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 15%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.