PITCHER MATCHUP
Matthew Liberatore vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matthew Liberatore's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 24%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Cutter 7%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 671 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.