PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 24%Curveball 16%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Cutter 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.