PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Liberatore vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Liberatore's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Liberatore's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .349Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 23%Curveball 15%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 8%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Liberatore, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →