PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.