PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.