PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →