PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.