PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 25%Slider 14%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PA Pete Alonso RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →