PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.