PITCHER MATCHUP
Matthew Boyd vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matthew Boyd's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BB Brett Baty LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.