PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .333
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 626 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.