PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 25%Slider 14%Curveball 11%Sinker 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .334
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .446 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-25 game page →