PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TW Taylor Ward RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →