PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.