PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.