PITCHER MATCHUP
Matthew Boyd vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matthew Boyd's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.