PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 25%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →