PITCHER MATCHUP

Matthew Boyd vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matthew Boyd's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matthew Boyd's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 26%Slider 15%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matthew Boyd, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.