PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Wilkinson vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Wilkinson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .197vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.