PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Wilkinson vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Wilkinson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Changeup 24%Slider 16%Cutter 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .333
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →