PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Wilkinson vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Wilkinson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .197vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.