PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Wilkinson vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Wilkinson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .197vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 6%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.