PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Wilkinson vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Wilkinson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 58%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Cutter 6%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →