PITCHER MATCHUP
Matt Wilkinson vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matt Wilkinson's arsenal
Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 58%Changeup 22%Slider 13%Cutter 6%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.