PITCHER MATCHUP
Matt Wilkinson vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Wilkinson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Matt Wilkinson's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .197vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 57%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 6%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Wilkinson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.