PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Waldron vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Waldron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Waldron's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Knuckleball 37%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 16%Sinker 16%Cutter 13%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Waldron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →