PITCHER MATCHUP

Matt Waldron vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Matt Waldron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Matt Waldron's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Knuckleball 37%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 16%Sinker 16%Cutter 14%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Matt Waldron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Knuckleball (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.