PITCHER MATCHUP
Mason Englert vs Houston Astros
How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Englert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mason Englert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 30%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 17%Cutter 15%Curveball 13%Slider 3%Unknown 2%CS 1%SV 1%
How the Houston Astros's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Englert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .403
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .455 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
- Changeup (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.