PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Englert vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Englert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Englert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 30%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 17%Cutter 15%Curveball 12%Slider 3%Unknown 2%SV 1%CS 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Englert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .411
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .470 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.