PITCHER MATCHUP
Mason Barnett vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Barnett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mason Barnett's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 17%Slider 13%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 1%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Barnett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.