PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Barnett vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Barnett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Barnett's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 19%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Changeup 7%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Barnett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →