PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Barnett vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Barnett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Barnett's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .365Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 17%Slider 13%Curveball 11%Changeup 8%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Barnett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.