PITCHER MATCHUP
Mason Barnett vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Barnett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mason Barnett's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Sweeper 17%Slider 13%Curveball 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 1%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Barnett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .277
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TW Taylor Walls SH .261
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .274
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
- Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.