PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Barnett vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Barnett's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Barnett's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 19%Slider 14%Curveball 12%Changeup 7%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Barnett, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .261
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →