PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Adams vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Adams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Adams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 27%Curveball 16%Sweeper 12%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Adams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →