PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Adams vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Adams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Adams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Sinker 25%Curveball 19%Sweeper 13%Cutter 6%Changeup 5%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Adams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.