PITCHER MATCHUP

Mason Adams vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Adams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mason Adams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 27%Curveball 16%Sweeper 12%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Adams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.