PITCHER MATCHUP
Mason Adams vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mason Adams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mason Adams's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 27%Curveball 16%Sweeper 12%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mason Adams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.