PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 30%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.