PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 24%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.