PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →