PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 30%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.