PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-10 game page →