PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 29%Cutter 24%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.