PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 32%Changeup 29%Cutter 24%Curveball 10%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →