PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 29%Cutter 23%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.