PITCHER MATCHUP

Martín Pérez vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Martín Pérez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Martín Pérez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .349Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Changeup 28%Cutter 24%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Martín Pérez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →